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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Villarreal logo

Cartagena
1 - 5
Villarreal

Vazquez (39')
Jansson (62'), Musto (62'), Alcala (88'), Rico (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baena (49'), Danjuma (56'), Luis Morales (60'), Chukwueze (85'), Capoue (90')
Femenia (22'), Jackson (88')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 32 clash between Cartagena and Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alcorcon 1-1 Cartagena (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 31 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
CartagenaDrawVillarreal
38.87% (-0.438 -0.44) 26.53% (0.34 0.34) 34.59% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.28% (-1.097 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (-1.406 -1.41)52.58% (1.401 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (-1.216 -1.22)74.23% (1.212 1.21)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.889 -0.89)26.42% (0.884 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-1.195 -1.19)61.59% (1.19 1.19)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.627 -0.63)28.94% (0.621 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.78100000000001 -0.78)64.82% (0.776 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 38.86%
    Villarreal 34.59%
    Draw 26.53%
CartagenaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.299 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.415 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.357 0.36)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.59%

How you voted: Cartagena vs Villarreal

Cartagena
15.3%
Draw
6.8%
Villarreal
78.0%
59
rhs 2.0
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