Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Villarreal |
34.26% ( -1.39) | 24.7% ( 0.07) | 41.04% ( 1.32) |
Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.37% ( -0.59) | 44.63% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% ( -0.57) | 66.99% ( 0.57) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% ( -1.06) | 25.33% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.89% ( -1.48) | 60.11% ( 1.48) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% ( 0.38) | 21.75% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% ( 0.58) | 54.94% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |