Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
34.59% ( -0.6) | 24.64% ( 0.01) | 40.76% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 58.72% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( -0.14) | 44.28% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% ( -0.14) | 66.66% ( 0.13) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( -0.41) | 24.97% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.39% ( -0.57) | 59.61% ( 0.56) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( 0.22) | 21.74% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.09% ( 0.34) | 54.91% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |