Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
55.03% ( -0.05) | 23.83% ( 0) | 21.13% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.83% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.24% ( 0.05) | 49.76% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.23% ( 0.04) | 71.76% ( -0.05) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% ( 0) | 17.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% ( 0) | 48.78% ( -0) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% ( 0.08) | 38.05% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.18% ( 0.08) | 74.81% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 55.03% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |