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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Real Valladolid logo

Cadiz
2 - 0
Valladolid

Bongonda (69', 76' pen.)
Lozano (73'), Bongonda (77'), Fede (86'), Mbaye (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

El Yamiq (33'), Rosa (47'), Mesa (67'), Sanchez (75')
Hongla (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-3 Sevilla
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Real Valladolid

Cadiz have one of the poorer home records in La Liga this season, but Real Valladolid have struggled on their travels. It is a huge game towards the bottom of the table, but the desire not to lose is likely to be stronger than the desire to win, so a tight match could end with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawReal Valladolid
48.82% (0.309 0.31) 25.6% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 25.57% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (0.13800000000001 0.14)52.67% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (0.119 0.12)74.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.191 0.19)21.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.292 0.29)54.68% (-0.293 -0.29)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.119 -0.12)35.54% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (-0.124 -0.12)72.31% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 48.81%
    Real Valladolid 25.57%
    Draw 25.6%
CadizDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.81%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.57%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Valladolid

Cadiz
56.6%
Draw
25.0%
Real Valladolid
18.4%
76
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
gameweek 6
Valladolid
0-1
Cadiz

Monchu (18')
Negredo (90+2')
Apr 24, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 32
Valladolid
1-1
Cadiz
Plano (14')
Alcaraz (81')
Cala (64')
Espino (27'), Fali (60'), Alejo (83')
Dec 29, 2020 8.30pm
gameweek 16
Cadiz
0-0
Valladolid

Fali (26'), Alejo (27'), Lozano (33')

Mesa (6'), El Yamiq (45')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Valladolid
1-1
Cadiz
Martinez (59')
Luismi (43'), Michel (64'), Plano (90')
Servando (90')
Olivan (54'), Ander Garrido (63')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Cadiz
1-0
Valladolid
Alex (6')
Mauro (41'), Ander Garrido (77'), Bijker (80')

Borja (21'), Masip (85')
Luismi (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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