Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Real Valladolid |
59.73% ( -0.15) | 22.29% ( 0) | 17.98% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.37% ( 0.2) | 47.63% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.17% ( 0.18) | 69.83% ( -0.19) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.44% ( 0.02) | 15.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.5% ( 0.03) | 44.49% ( -0.04) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.76% ( 0.28) | 40.23% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.13% ( 0.25) | 76.86% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 59.72% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |