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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Valencia logo

Elche
0 - 2
Valencia


Nwankwo (47'), Roco (62'), Clerc (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lino (19'), Gonzalo (42' og.)
Musah (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 2-0 Elche
Sunday, April 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-1 Valencia

Elche have been the worst side in La Liga this season, so Valencia will be expecting to claim all three points here. Los Che might have to suffer and endure some difficult moments, but we are backing the away side to secure what would be a vital win at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawValencia
26.22% (-0.087 -0.09) 25.49% (-0.029 -0.03) 48.28% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)51.77% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (0.041999999999998 0.04)73.54% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)34.52% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)71.23% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.067000000000007 0.07)21.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52% (0.107 0.11)54.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Elche 26.22%
    Valencia 48.27%
    Draw 25.49%
ElcheDrawValencia
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.22%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 11.39%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 48.27%

How you voted: Elche vs Valencia

Elche
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Valencia
83.3%
36
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 9
Valencia
2-2
Elche
Cavani (41' pen., 45+7')
Mamardashvili (26')
Milla (29' pen., 65')
Mar 19, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 29
Elche
0-1
Valencia

Barragan (8'), Gonzalo (45+1'), Fidel (90+3')
Mojica (90+2')
Guedes (50')
Foulquier (27'), Diakhaby (39'), Gil (65')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 17
Valencia
2-1
Elche
Guedes (23'), Piccini (86')
Gomez (34'), Wass (48'), Foulquier (90+2')
Boye (75')
Morente (41'), Roco (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 21
Valencia
1-0
Elche
Wass (22')
Wass (70')

Gonzalo (3'), Barragan (33'), Morente (42'), Marcone (48'), Gonzalez (65'), Cifu (74'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
gameweek 7
Elche
2-1
Valencia
Josan (19'), Fidel (37')
Guti (77'), Fidel (86'), Barragan (90+3')
Lato (74')
Paulista (45'), Lato (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla186482027-722
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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