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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Elche

Valencia
2 - 2
Elche

Cavani (41' pen., 45+7')
Mamardashvili (26'), Comert (37'), Musah (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Milla (29' pen., 65')
Palacios (36'), Josan (39'), Fernandez (69'), Milla (78'), Badia (88'), Morente (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Valencia
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Mallorca
Monday, October 10 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-0 Elche

Elche were much-improved against Mallorca last time out, and there should be a fresh feel around the club due to the appointment of a new manager. Valencia are currently in impressive form, though, and we are expecting Los Che to secure all three points courtesy of a 2-0 scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.8%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawElche
70.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 19.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 10.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 41.52% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (0.064999999999998 0.06)49.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.42% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03)12.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)39.2% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.63% (0.040999999999997 0.04)52.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.76% (0.029 0.03)86.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 70.32%
    Elche 10.59%
    Draw 19.09%
ValenciaDrawElche
2-0 @ 14.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 70.32%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 19.09%
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 10.59%

How you voted: Valencia vs Elche

Valencia
84.1%
Draw
8.5%
Elche
7.3%
82
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3.15pm
Elche
0-1
Valencia

Barragan (8'), Gonzalo (45+1'), Fidel (90+3')
Mojica (90+2')
Guedes (50')
Foulquier (27'), Diakhaby (39'), Gil (65')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-1
Elche
Guedes (23'), Piccini (86')
Gomez (34'), Wass (48'), Foulquier (90+2')
Boye (75')
Morente (41'), Roco (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
1-0
Elche
Wass (22')
Wass (70')

Gonzalo (3'), Barragan (33'), Morente (42'), Marcone (48'), Gonzalez (65'), Cifu (74'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
Elche
2-1
Valencia
Josan (19'), Fidel (37')
Guti (77'), Fidel (86'), Barragan (90+3')
Lato (74')
Paulista (45'), Lato (90+5')
Mar 20, 2015 7.45pm
Elche
0-4
Valencia

Suarez (4')
Gomes (44'), Alcacer (57'), Roco (71' og.), Otamendi (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla186482027-722
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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