Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 5 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Barcelona | 5 | 14 | 13 |
3 | Real Betis | 5 | 5 | 12 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Real Valladolid | 6 | -8 | 4 |
19 | Cadiz | 6 | -13 | 3 |
20 | Elche | 5 | -11 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 88.1%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 3.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.46%) and 4-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Barcelona in this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Elche |
88.1% ( 0.92) | 8.72% ( -0.5) | 3.17% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 36.1% ( -2.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.25% ( -0.14) | 30.74% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.92% ( -0.17) | 52.08% ( 0.17) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.49% ( 0.14) | 4.51% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.51% ( 0.43) | 18.49% ( -0.43) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
37.81% ( -2.33) | 62.19% ( 2.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.27% ( -1.15) | 91.73% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Elche |
3-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.16) 6-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.22) 5-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.2) 7-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.88% Total : 88.09% | 1-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.27% Total : 8.73% | 0-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.86% Total : 3.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |