La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Elche1 - 4Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal 4-0 Elche
Sunday, September 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Real Valladolid | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Elche | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 19 | Getafe | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Espanyol
Sunday, September 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Osasuna | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
We said: Elche 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
With one team scoring just once and another conceding just once, this could be one-way traffic. However, we feel that Elche will remain competitive throughout, even if they may eventually succumb by a narrow scoreline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
28.76% ( 0.89) | 28.39% ( 0.15) | 42.84% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.88% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
