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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Valencia logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Valencia

Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)
Balliu (21'), Isi (35'), Dimitrievski (62'), Comesana (63'), Trejo (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diakhaby (90+3')
Musah (68'), Correia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia

Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are backing another draw here. Valencia will be full of confidence due to their strong win last time out, but we believe that Rayo have enough quality to secure a point in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
40.59% (-0.224 -0.22) 28.2% (0.087 0.09) 31.2% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.41% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (-0.275 -0.27)59.6% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (-0.212 -0.21)79.93% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.259 -0.26)28.79% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.323 -0.32)64.63% (0.321 0.32)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)34.82% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.56% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 40.59%
    Valencia 31.2%
    Draw 28.19%
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.2%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

Rayo Vallecano
18.3%
Draw
26.0%
Valencia
55.8%
104
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Lopez (5'), Balliu (90+3'), Catena (90+9')
Soler (57')
Moriba (8'), Duro (42'), Maranhao (74'), Correia (90+9')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')
Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 24, 2018 3.15pm
Valencia
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mina (35', 61'), Gameiro (76')
Diakhaby (28'), Soler (74')

Advincula (22'), Comesana (41'), Galvez (51')
Advincula (87')
Jan 17, 2016 11am
Valencia
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Negredo (55'), Alcacer (88')
Alcacer (87')
Sanchez (15'), Llorente (69')
Llorente (19'), Ruz Quini (78'), Bangoura (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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