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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Atletico


Maranhao (18'), Gattuso (26'), Correia (42'), Comert (76'), Perez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Griezmann (66')
Niguez (14'), Simeone (26'), Mandava (27'), Felix (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Valencia 1-2 Atletico Madrid

If their opening double-header is anything to go by, these two clubs could be unpredictable as the season progresses. Valencia will fancy their chances of causing the upset in this fixture, but we cannot go against Atletico at this stage with Simeone's men possibly coming through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
23.48% (-0.448 -0.45) 26.62% (-0.304 -0.3) 49.9% (0.752 0.75)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.379 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01% (0.721 0.72)57.99% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (0.564 0.56)78.68% (-0.56700000000001 -0.57)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.01% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (0.658 0.66)23.34% (-0.66 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (0.948 0.95)57.31% (-0.951 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 23.48%
    Atletico Madrid 49.89%
    Draw 26.61%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 23.48%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 9.98% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.84% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.13 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.89%

How you voted: Valencia vs Atletico

Valencia
10.3%
Draw
25.6%
Atletico Madrid
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Atletico
3-2
Valencia
Cunha (64'), Correa (90+1'), Hermoso (90+3')
Koke (27'), Hermoso (37'), Suarez (82'), Herrera (84'), Gimenez (90+3')
Musah (25'), Duro (44')
Correia (14'), Foulquier (37'), Musah (43'), Guillamon (61'), Lato (65'), Domenech (83')
Nov 7, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
3-3
Atletico
Savic (50' og.), Duro (90+2', 90+6')
Guillamon (76'), Musah (90+4')
Suarez (35'), Griezmann (58'), Vrsaljko (62')
Carrasco (90'), Griezmann (90+5')
Jan 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
3-1
Valencia
Felix (23'), Suarez (54'), Correa (72')
Vrsaljko (30'), Savic (76')
Racic (11')
Nov 28, 2020 3.15pm
Valencia
0-1
Atletico

Racic (28'), Guillamon (57')
Lato (79' og.)
Niguez (43'), Correa (62'), Llorente (76'), Felix (81'), Koke (83')
Feb 14, 2020 8pm
Valencia
2-2
Atletico
Paulista (40'), Kondogbia (59')
Paulista (55'), Mangala (67'), Gomez (79')
Llorente (15'), Partey (43')
Lodi (26'), Vrsaljko (58'), Poveda (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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