La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Almeria2 - 1Valencia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-1 Valencia
Valencia have the third-worst away record in the league this season, so we are finding it tough to back them to secure all three points. Almeria's impressive home form this term makes them the favourites, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
39.19% ( -0.2) | 27.15% ( 0.02) | 33.66% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
