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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Cadiz logo

Almeria
1 - 1
Cadiz

Melero (90+7' pen.)
Eguaras (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marti (49')
Sobrino (38'), Guardiola (52'), Ramos (73'), Mbaye (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Getafe
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz

Almeria have been impressive in front of their own fans this season, while Cadiz have suffered defeats in seven of their 12 league games on their travels. Cadiz are not losing many games at the moment, though, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
45.64% (-1.632 -1.63) 27.31% (0.529 0.53) 27.05% (1.101 1.1)
Both teams to score 46.8% (-0.654 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (-1.251 -1.25)58.09% (1.25 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (-0.992 -0.99)78.76% (0.992 0.99)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-1.345 -1.35)25.41% (1.345 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-1.879 -1.88)60.22% (1.878 1.88)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (0.25 0.25)37.26% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96% (0.246 0.25)74.04% (-0.247 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 45.64%
    Cadiz 27.05%
    Draw 27.31%
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 12.97% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.291 -0.29)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.47% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.496 0.5)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.274 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Almeria vs Cadiz

Almeria
29.4%
Draw
44.1%
Cadiz
26.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Feb 29, 2020 5.15pm
Cadiz
2-1
Almeria
Maras (16' og.), Alex (60')
Fali (37'), Perea (76')
Corpas (10')
Jonathan (77'), Costas (84')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Almeria
1-2
Cadiz
Corpas (77' pen.)
Maras (36'), Martos (94')
Lozano (69'), Espino (90')
Mari (26'), Lozano (71'), Alberto (94')
Mauro (76')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Almeria
0-0
Cadiz

Brice Eteki (17'), Carlos (21'), Martos (31'), Saveljich (90')

Ramos (35'), Lekic (42'), Mari (60')
Mari (75')
Aug 17, 2018 7pm
Cadiz
1-0
Almeria
Alex (76')
Matos (30'), Agra (56'), Mari (71'), Aketxe (88')

Gassama (2'), Owona (28'), Rioja (50'), Chema (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
13Sevilla186482027-722
14Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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