Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Cadiz |
45.64% ( -1.63) | 27.31% ( 0.53) | 27.05% ( 1.1) |
Both teams to score 46.8% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.91% ( -1.25) | 58.09% ( 1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.24% ( -0.99) | 78.76% ( 0.99) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.59% ( -1.35) | 25.41% ( 1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% ( -1.88) | 60.22% ( 1.88) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% ( 0.25) | 37.26% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.96% ( 0.25) | 74.04% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |