Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Almeria |
59.86% ( 0.07) | 21.17% ( -0.02) | 18.97% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% ( 0.04) | 41.15% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.45% ( 0.04) | 63.54% ( -0.04) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.63% ( 0.03) | 13.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.72% ( 0.07) | 40.27% ( -0.06) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.02) | 35.32% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( -0.02) | 72.08% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Almeria |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
12 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |