La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 1Almeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, April 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Almeria
Given Atletico Madrid's strong defensive record, we expect the hosts to notch a fourth clean-sheet victory in five outings this weekend, piling pressure on Almeria at the opposite end of the table. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 3-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
71.94% ( 0.27) | 17.66% ( -0.14) | 10.4% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.38% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( 0.23) | 43.75% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( 0.22) | 66.14% ( -0.22) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.2% ( 0.13) | 10.8% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.17% ( 0.3) | 34.83% ( -0.29) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.87% ( -0.11) | 49.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.95% ( -0.08) | 84.05% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid 71.93%
Almeria 10.4%
Draw 17.66%
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
| 2-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 71.93% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 17.66% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 10.4% |
How you voted: Atletico vs Almeria
Atletico Madrid
89.1%Draw
6.5%Almeria
4.3%46
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2015 7pm
Sep 24, 2014 7pm
Feb 8, 2014 9pm
