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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Atletico Madrid logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Atletico

Garcia (85')
Lejeune (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Molina (22'), Hermoso (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Betis
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's recent form has been excellent, and it would be fair to say that confidence in the camp is very high. Rayo are not losing many games at the moment, but Atletico's results over the last few months are difficult to ignore, and we are predicting a narrow away success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
27.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.69% (0.169 0.17) 44.55% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.582 -0.58)59.05% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.454 -0.45)79.51% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.307 -0.31)37.2% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.303 -0.3)73.98% (0.303 0.3)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.36099999999999 -0.36)26.4% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.483 -0.48)61.56% (0.483 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 27.76%
    Atletico Madrid 44.54%
    Draw 27.69%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 13.07% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.71% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.54%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico

Rayo Vallecano
9.0%
Draw
10.1%
Atletico Madrid
80.9%
89
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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