Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
27.76% ( 0.02) | 27.69% ( 0.17) | 44.55% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.94% ( -0.58) | 59.05% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.49% ( -0.45) | 79.51% ( 0.45) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -0.31) | 37.2% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( -0.3) | 73.98% ( 0.3) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( -0.36) | 26.4% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( -0.48) | 61.56% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.76% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 2% Total : 44.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |