La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Celta Vigo3 - 0Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
This is a really difficult match to call, especially as three of the last four league meetings between the two sides have finished level. Both teams will be confident of picking up the win, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
45.24% ( -0.08) | 26.83% ( 0.01) | 27.93% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.13% ( 0.01) | 55.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.02% ( 0.01) | 76.98% ( -0.01) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( -0.03) | 24.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.89% ( -0.05) | 59.11% ( 0.05) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( 0.06) | 35.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.91% ( 0.06) | 72.09% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo 45.24%
Rayo Vallecano 27.93%
Draw 26.82%
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.93% |
How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
47.6%Draw
26.2%Rayo Vallecano
26.2%42
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2022 6pm
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
May 18, 2019 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Aspas (82' pen., 90')
Form Guide
