MX23RW : Monday, March 17 06:36:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
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Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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Valencia logo
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Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Rayo Vallecano logo

Celta Vigo
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Aspas (51', 85'), Ciss (52' og.)
Beltran (11'), Oscar (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Comesana (23'), Balliu (45+1'), Lejeune (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

This is a really difficult match to call, especially as three of the last four league meetings between the two sides have finished level. Both teams will be confident of picking up the win, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawRayo Vallecano
45.24% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08) 26.83% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 27.93% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.75% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)55.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)24.61% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)59.11% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.66% (0.060000000000002 0.06)35.33% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.064 0.06)72.09% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 45.24%
    Rayo Vallecano 27.93%
    Draw 26.82%
Celta VigoDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.012999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.93%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano

Celta Vigo
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Rayo Vallecano
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Nov 1, 2021 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-0
Celta Vigo

Valentin (65'), Isi (69'), Iraola (90+2')

Galan (45'), Solari (51'), Mendez (69'), Fontan (70'), Tapia (81')
May 18, 2019 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Aspas (82' pen., 90')
Embarba (29' pen.), Medran (71')
Agbo (4'), Garcia (39'), Catena (79'), Dimitrievski (85')
Jan 11, 2019 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
4-2
Celta Vigo
De Tomas (4', 37', 77'), Bebe (90')
Ba (16'), Advincula (71'), Velazquez (80'), Bebe (90')
Araujo (13'), Gomez (18' pen.)
Mendez (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona27193575274860
2Real Madrid28186459273260
3Atletico MadridAtletico28168446222456
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano2891093131037
10Getafe2899102523236
11Sevilla2899103237-536
12Real Sociedad28105132530-535
13GironaGirona2897123641-534
14Osasuna2771283339-633
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516


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