Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
49.5% ( -1.7) | 24.86% ( 0.02) | 25.64% ( 1.68) |
Both teams to score 52.87% ( 1.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% ( 1.32) | 49.64% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% ( 1.17) | 71.65% ( -1.17) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% ( -0.17) | 20.07% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.69% ( -0.28) | 52.31% ( 0.28) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% ( 2.17) | 33.85% ( -2.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.48% ( 2.28) | 70.52% ( -2.28) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.66) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.49% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
12 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |