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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Real Valladolid logo

Celta Vigo
3 - 0
Valladolid

Seferovic (17'), Veiga (32', 64')
Oscar (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Monchu (30'), Perez (38'), Sanchez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in La Liga

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Valladolid

 This is a really difficult match to call, as there is not a lot between the two teams. The fact that four of their last five La Liga meetings have ended in draws is difficult to ignore, and we are finding it tough to back anything other than another stalemate in Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Valladolid
45.88% (1.348 1.35) 25.97% (-0.303 -0.3) 28.15% (-1.046 -1.05)
Both teams to score 51.44% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (0.671 0.67)52.45% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (0.572 0.57)74.13% (-0.57300000000001 -0.57)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.928 0.93)22.82% (-0.927 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (1.351 1.35)56.54% (-1.352 -1.35)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-0.441 -0.44)33.34% (0.442 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (-0.488 -0.49)69.96% (0.488 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 45.87%
    Real Valladolid 28.15%
    Draw 25.96%
Celta VigoDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.146 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.191 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.221 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.87%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.15%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Valladolid

Celta Vigo
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Real Valladolid
8.3%
60
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 6pm
Valladolid
4-1
Celta Vigo
Mesa (32'), Fernandez (62'), Leon (74', 79')
Oscar (43')
Oscar (28')
Feb 28, 2021 1pm
Celta Vigo
1-1
Valladolid
Murillo (90+4')
Tapia (34'), Aidoo (90+3'), Ferreyra (90+5')
Orellana (70')
Weissman (4'), Guardiola (40'), Olaza (58'), Fernandez (90'), El Yamiq (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 5.30pm
Valladolid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Guardiola (66' pen.)
Guardiola (61'), Bruno (80'), Sanchez (86')
Aspas (44')
Mor (25'), Beltran (41'), Mallo (65'), Aspas (90+2')
Jun 17, 2020 6.30pm
Valladolid
0-0
Celta Vigo
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Celta Vigo
0-0
Valladolid

Mallo (49')

Borja (45'), Guardiola (66'), Rubio (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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