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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Real Valladolid logo

Atletico
3 - 0
Valladolid

Morata (18'), Griezmann (23'), Hermoso (28')
Mandava (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Perez (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Levante 0-2 Atletico
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Real Valladolid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Real Valladolid

 Atletico are a difficult team to back at the moment with any real confidence, and they have found it difficult at home this season, but Real Valladolid's away record has been poor. As a result, we are backing Simeone's side to collect all three points in front of their own supporters, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Valladolid
57.3% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 23.7% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 19% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.01% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)51.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.022000000000006 0.02)17.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)48.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)41.53% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)78.02% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 57.3%
    Real Valladolid 19%
    Draw 23.69%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19%

How you voted: Atletico vs Valladolid

Atletico Madrid
85.2%
Draw
9.3%
Real Valladolid
5.6%
54
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 5pm
Valladolid
1-2
Atletico
Plano (18')
Maranhao (55'), El Yamiq (70'), Michel (74'), Fede (78')
Correa (57'), Suarez (67')
Felix (78'), Felipe (83'), Lodi (87')
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Valladolid
Lemar (56'), Llorente (72')
Savic (24'), Vitolo (40'), Suarez (49'), Herrera (85')

Sanchez Moreno (51'), Mesa (81')
Jun 20, 2020 9pm
Atletico
1-0
Valladolid
Oct 6, 2019 3pm
Valladolid
0-0
Atletico
> Preview
Apr 27, 2019 3.15pm
Atletico
1-0
Valladolid
Fernandez (66' og.)
Godin (5'), Thomas (38'), Correa (90'), Koke (90')

Moyano (1'), Alcaraz (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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