Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves1 - 0Valladolid
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 32 clash between Alaves and Real Valladolid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Merida 0-1 Alaves
Wednesday, December 21 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, December 21 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valladolid 0-2 Real Madrid
Friday, December 30 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Friday, December 30 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Real Valladolid |
36.1% ( 0.88) | 26.53% ( 0) | 37.38% ( -0.88) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.57% ( 0.05) | 52.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% ( 0.04) | 74.1% ( -0.04) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( 0.56) | 27.95% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( 0.7) | 63.58% ( -0.7) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.8% ( -0.48) | 27.2% ( 0.48) |