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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Valladolid logo

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
Valladolid

Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Guruzeta (45+1'), Herrera (49'), Vencedor (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Monchu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Elche
Saturday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Valladolid

Real Valladolid will enter this match full of confidence, but the same cannot be said for Athletic due to their recent struggles. Athletic will be the favourites on Tuesday, but Real Valladolid's form deserves a lot of respect, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
60.74% (0.684 0.68) 22.97% (-0.181 -0.18) 16.29% (-0.495 -0.5)
Both teams to score 45.2% (-0.45 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04% (-0.067 -0.07)52.96% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)74.56% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (0.21899999999999 0.22)17.06% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.378 0.38)47.23% (-0.371 -0.37)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49% (-0.684 -0.68)45.51% (0.693 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.66% (-0.546 -0.55)81.34% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 60.73%
    Real Valladolid 16.29%
    Draw 22.96%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 12.14% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.29%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid

Athletic Bilbao
62.1%
Draw
18.2%
Real Valladolid
19.7%
132
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
Mar 8, 2020 1pm
Valladolid
1-4
Athletic Bilbao
Ramirez (76')
Ben Arfa (90')
Lopez (4'), Garcia (24'), Williams (87'), Cordoba (90')
Lopez (49'), Garcia (80')
Oct 20, 2019 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Valladolid
Williams (33')
Alvarez (58'), Aduriz (79')
Martinez (71' og.)
Salisu (38'), Borja (75'), Masip (90')
May 5, 2019 5.30pm
Valladolid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Rubio (21')
Plano (11'), Michel (35'), Alcaraz (41'), Borja (50'), Toni (84')

Capa (30'), Garcia (30'), San Jose (55'), Aduriz (90'), Muniain (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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