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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Valladolid logo

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
Valladolid

Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Guruzeta (45+1'), Herrera (49'), Vencedor (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Monchu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Elche
Saturday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Valladolid

 Real Valladolid will enter this match full of confidence, but the same cannot be said for Athletic due to their recent struggles. Athletic will be the favourites on Tuesday, but Real Valladolid's form deserves a lot of respect, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
60.74% (0.684 0.68) 22.97% (-0.181 -0.18) 16.29% (-0.495 -0.5)
Both teams to score 45.2% (-0.45 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04% (-0.067 -0.07)52.96% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)74.56% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (0.21899999999999 0.22)17.06% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.378 0.38)47.23% (-0.371 -0.37)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49% (-0.684 -0.68)45.51% (0.693 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.66% (-0.546 -0.55)81.34% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 60.73%
    Real Valladolid 16.29%
    Draw 22.96%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 12.14% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.29%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valladolid

Athletic Bilbao
62.1%
Draw
18.2%
Real Valladolid
19.7%
132
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Valladolid
Morcillo (14'), Garcia (76')
Sancet (61')
Orellana (70'), Weissman (85')
El Yamiq (90+1')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
> Preview
Mar 8, 2020 1pm
Valladolid
1-4
Athletic Bilbao
Ramirez (76')
Ben Arfa (90')
Lopez (4'), Garcia (24'), Williams (87'), Cordoba (90')
Lopez (49'), Garcia (80')
Oct 20, 2019 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Valladolid
Williams (33')
Alvarez (58'), Aduriz (79')
Martinez (71' og.)
Salisu (38'), Borja (75'), Masip (90')
May 5, 2019 5.30pm
Valladolid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Rubio (21')
Plano (11'), Michel (35'), Alcaraz (41'), Borja (50'), Toni (84')

Capa (30'), Garcia (30'), San Jose (55'), Aduriz (90'), Muniain (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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