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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Atletico Madrid logo

Mallorca
1 - 0
Atletico

Muriqi (16')
Baba (26'), Kang-in (36'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Grenier (90+3'), Valjent (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Molina (15'), De Paul (34'), Correa (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, November 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Mallorca 1-2 Atletico Madrid

We are expecting an extremely tight game, as the in-form hosts battle it out with inconsistent, yet technically superior opponents. We can certainly see Mallorca scoring, given the chaos that Muriqi's presence can often cause, but Simeone's men desperately need to snap their streak and have more than enough talent to do so here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
25.97% (0.114 0.11) 27.56% (0.106 0.11) 46.47% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.47% (-0.291 -0.29)59.53% (0.294 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.12% (-0.226 -0.23)79.88% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)38.98% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)75.7% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.238 -0.24)25.65% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.325 -0.32)60.55% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 25.97%
    Atletico Madrid 46.47%
    Draw 27.55%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.087 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 13.6% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.47%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Atletico

Mallorca
Draw
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
15.6%
Draw
10.6%
Atletico Madrid
73.8%
141
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Mallorca
0-2
Atletico

Baba (5'), Budimir (7'), Campos (77')
Costa (26'), Felix (64')
Savic (13'), Felipe (55'), Morata (77'), Correa (86')
Morata (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid28186459273260
2Barcelona26183571254657
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano279992929036
10Sevilla279993236-436
11GironaGirona2897123641-534
12Real Sociedad27104132328-534
13Getafe2789102322133
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2769122440-1627
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516


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