Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.