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England national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Republic of Ireland national football team

England
5 - 0
Rep. Ireland

Kane (53' pen.), Gordon (56'), Gallagher (58'), Bowen (76'), Harwood-Bellis (79')
Madueke (42'), Bellingham (42'), Kane (45+3'), Gomes (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Scales (43'), Molumby (45+3'), O'Shea (85')
Scales (51')

The Match

Match Report

Lee Carsley signs off as England interim boss with a 5-0 win over the Republic of Ireland, which confirms the Three Lions' promotion to League A of the Nations League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between England and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with the Republic of Ireland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Greece 0-3 England
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-0 Finland
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
EnglandDrawRepublic of Ireland
64.71% (-0.83800000000001 -0.84) 20.78% (0.238 0.24) 14.51% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 47.72% (0.785 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.231 0.23)47.38% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.213 0.21)69.6% (-0.21000000000001 -0.21)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.179 -0.18)13.89% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.69% (-0.358 -0.36)41.31% (0.362 0.36)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (1.026 1.03)44.59% (-1.023 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.4% (0.818 0.82)80.6% (-0.81399999999999 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    England 64.7%
    Republic of Ireland 14.51%
    Draw 20.78%
EnglandDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 12.06% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.94% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.07 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 64.7%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.78%
0-1 @ 5% (0.095 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.99% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.02% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 14.51%

How you voted: England vs Rep. Ireland

England
84.3%
Draw
9.6%
Republic of Ireland
6.1%
198
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 5pm
League B
Rep. Ireland
0-2
England

Szmodics (45'), Molumby (65'), Brady (68'), O'Brien (77')
Rice (11'), Grealish (26')
Mainoo (14'), Colwill (77')
Nov 12, 2020 8pm
Friendlies 1
England
3-0
Rep. Ireland
Maguire (18'), Sancho (31'), Calvert-Lewin (56' pen.)
Jun 7, 2015 1pm
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
0-0
England
May 29, 2013 8pm
International Friendlies
England
1-1
Rep. Ireland
rhs 2.0
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