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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | FC Twente |
28.96% ( -0.12) | 23.16% ( -0.15) | 47.88% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 61.39% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% ( 0.63) | 39.64% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38% ( 0.65) | 61.99% ( -0.64) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.82% ( 0.24) | 26.17% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.74% ( 0.32) | 61.26% ( -0.31) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.16% ( 0.34) | 16.84% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.17% ( 0.6) | 46.83% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.22% Total : 47.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 48 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Feyenoord | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 36 |
6 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Groningen | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |