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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
56.08% ( 0.65) | 22.39% ( -0.2) | 21.53% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.87% ( 0.34) | 43.13% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.47% ( 0.34) | 65.53% ( -0.33) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% ( 0.34) | 15.22% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% ( 0.63) | 43.87% ( -0.62) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( -0.23) | 33.91% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% ( -0.25) | 70.59% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.08% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.18% Total : 21.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 23 | 45 | 50 |
2 | Ajax | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 48 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Feyenoord | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 36 |
6 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Heracles | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Groningen | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |