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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg

Marseille
vs.
Strasbourg

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Thaon 2-2 Strasbourg (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

We say: Marseille 3-1 Strasbourg

Home form has picked up after a dreadful start saw Marseille take just five points from their first five games at the Velodrome this season, and another success could be on the way. Strasbourg are in excellent form, but the teams they have beaten recently have not been on Marseille's level, and their 28-year wait for a win here is set to go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw has a probability of 22.7% and a win for Strasbourg has a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Strasbourg win it is 1-2 (5.83%).

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
55.1% (-3.861 -3.86) 22.66% (0.698 0.7) 22.24% (3.165 3.17)
Both teams to score 56.16% (2.629 2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56% (1.118 1.12)43.43% (-1.116 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (1.09 1.09)65.83% (-1.088 -1.09)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-0.89 -0.89)15.65% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-1.676 -1.68)44.68% (1.677 1.68)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (3.782 3.78)33.42% (-3.78 -3.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (3.937 3.94)70.05% (-3.936 -3.94)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 55.1%
    Strasbourg 22.24%
    Draw 22.65%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.799 -0.8)
2-0 @ 9% (-1.045 -1.05)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.847 -0.85)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.207 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.487 -0.49)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 55.1%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.49 0.49)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.69 0.69)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.303 0.3)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.457 0.46)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.436 0.44)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.354 0.35)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.263 0.26)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 22.24%

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg?

Marseille
Draw
Strasbourg
Marseille
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Strasbourg
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Strasbourg
1-0
Marseille
Moreira (40')
Rosenior (7'), Doukoure (56'), Doue (68')

Rabiot (75')
Jan 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 18
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Gigot (3')
Meite (34'), Nadir (84'), Gigot (90+6')
Sebas (90+2')
Senaya (77'), Doukoure (90+6')
Nov 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
1-1
Marseille
Emegha (6')
Bakwa (89')
Clauss (27')
Lodi (54'), Veretout (90+1')
Mar 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
2-2
Strasbourg
Mbemba (49'), Sanchez (76' pen.)
Aholou (88', 89')
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
2-2
Marseille
Mothiba (76'), Gameiro (90+2')
Dieng (8'), Kabore (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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