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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Las Palmas

Real Madrid
vs.
Las Palmas

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Las Palmas at Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of the final of their La Liga clash with Las Palmas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We say: Real Madrid 3-1 Las Palmas

Las Palmas have certainly got a goal in them, and we are expecting the visitors to give their fans something to cheer on Sunday afternoon. However, Real Madrid should have enough quality to navigate their way to an important three points at Bernabeu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw has a probability of 15% and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 11.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Las Palmas win it is 1-2 (3.24%).

Result
Real MadridDrawLas Palmas
73.93% (-0.62 -0.62) 14.97% (0.188 0.19) 11.09% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 58.72% (0.907 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.79% (0.357 0.36)28.2% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51% (0.44 0.44)48.99% (-0.443 -0.44)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.48% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)6.52% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.68% (-0.089999999999989 -0.09)24.31% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (0.99 0.99)37.18% (-0.994 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03% (0.968 0.97)73.96% (-0.97000000000001 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 73.93%
    Las Palmas 11.09%
    Draw 14.97%
Real MadridDrawLas Palmas
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.22% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 8.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.61% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.108 0.11)
5-0 @ 3.07% (-0.095 -0.1)
5-1 @ 3.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.75% (0.069 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.5% (0.035 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.4% (-0.047 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 73.93%
1-1 @ 6.55% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.126 0.13)
0-0 @ 2.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 14.97%
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.099 0.1)
0-1 @ 2.4% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 11.09%

Who will win Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Las Palmas?

Real Madrid
Draw
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Las Palmas
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Las Palmas
1-1
Real Madrid
Moleiro (5')
Carrion (74')
Junior (69' pen.)
Mendy (40'), Militao (88'), Militao (90+5')
Jan 27, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 22
Las Palmas
1-2
Real Madrid
Munoz (53')
Rodriguez (55'), Munoz (82'), Perrone (90+6')
Junior (65'), Tchouameni (84')
Rodrygo (5'), Tchouameni (90+9'), Mendy (90+7')
Sep 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Diaz (45+3'), Joselu (54')

Coco (79')
Mar 31, 2018 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-3
Real Madrid

Momo (36'), Galvez (45'), Navarro (51')
Bale (26', 51'), Benzema (39' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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