Real Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
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Sunday, September 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas
Boasting the joint-best defensive record in the division, Las Palmas will not make life easy for Real Madrid, but Ancelotti's men look set to return to winning ways with a hard-fought victory on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
57.29% ( 1.13) | 22.86% ( -0.18) | 19.85% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( -0.49) | 47.34% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( -0.45) | 69.56% ( 0.45) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( 0.22) | 16.27% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.18% ( 0.4) | 45.82% ( -0.4) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( -1.26) | 37.99% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.24% ( -1.24) | 74.76% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.28% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.85% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Las Palmas
