Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.