Osasuna2 - 1Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Osasuna 2-1 Girona
Girona's European bid appears to have run out of steam with a four-game winless run, and we think that the visitors will fall to a narrow defeat against an Osasuna side that have won four of their last five home league matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Girona had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
49.04% ( -0.92) | 25.58% ( 0.57) | 25.38% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.29% ( -1.98) | 52.72% ( 1.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% ( -1.72) | 74.35% ( 1.72) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( -1.19) | 21.51% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.43% ( -1.87) | 54.57% ( 1.88) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( -0.77) | 35.74% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.49% ( -0.8) | 72.51% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 25.38% |
