La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas2 - 1Valladolid
We said: Las Palmas 2-1 Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid certainly have the players to make this a difficult match for Las Palmas, and we are expecting a close game in terms of the scoreline, but the hosts are in strong form and should have enough quality to secure all three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Valladolid |
36.23% ( -1.11) | 24.88% ( -0.47) | 38.88% ( 1.58) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( 1.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( 2.13) | 45.17% ( -2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.49% ( 2.01) | 67.51% ( -2.01) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( 0.37) | 24.46% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.1% ( 0.52) | 58.9% ( -0.52) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 1.79) | 23.05% ( -1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.11% ( 2.56) | 56.88% ( -2.56) |
| Score Analysis |
Las Palmas 36.23%
Real Valladolid 38.88%
Draw 24.88%
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.66)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.53)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.88% |
How you voted: Las Palmas vs Valladolid
Las Palmas
86.7%Draw
8.9%Real Valladolid
4.4%45
Head to Head
Form Guide
