Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
46.84% ( 3.19) | 25.72% ( -0.96) | 27.43% ( -2.23) |
Both teams to score 51.69% ( 1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.11% ( 2.62) | 51.89% ( -2.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.36% ( 2.23) | 73.64% ( -2.22) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% ( 2.65) | 22.14% ( -2.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.48% ( 3.85) | 55.52% ( -3.84) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( -0.33) | 33.6% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% ( -0.36) | 70.25% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.81) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.96) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |