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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Valladolid logo

Alaves
2 - 3
Valladolid

Martinez (6'), Kike (90+7')
Diarra (68'), Sanchez (78'), Tenaglia (80'), Kike (90+9'), Abqar (90+11')
Kike (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sylla (17' pen.), Amallah (72' pen.), Anuar (76')
Moro (57'), Pezzolano (81'), Latasa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, October 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 2-1 Real Valladolid

Alaves have already scored 11 times in the league this season, and Real Valladolid have conceded plenty. There should be goals on Friday, and we are expecting an entertaining affair, with Alaves likely to have enough to return to winning ways against a Real Valladolid outfit that have struggled on their travels this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Valladolid
50.1% (0.944 0.94) 25.38% (0.457 0.46) 24.52% (-1.398 -1.4)
Both teams to score 50.22% (-2.72 -2.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (-2.928 -2.93)52.6% (2.931 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-2.566 -2.57)74.25% (2.57 2.57)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.78 -0.78)21.01% (0.785 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-1.234 -1.23)53.79% (1.239 1.24)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-2.785 -2.79)36.43% (2.79 2.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-2.923 -2.92)73.21% (2.926 2.93)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 50.1%
    Real Valladolid 24.52%
    Draw 25.37%
AlavesDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.94% (1.07 1.07)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.625 0.63)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.849 0.85)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.407 -0.41)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.316 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.365 -0.37)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.274 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Alaves vs Valladolid

Alaves
77.2%
Draw
16.1%
Real Valladolid
6.7%
180
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Alaves
1-0
Valladolid
Sylla (11')
Feb 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Alaves
1-0
Valladolid
Joselu (66')
Pina (10'), Navarro (40'), Garcia (63'), Mendez (90+2')

Bruno (43'), Fernandez (48'), Fede (82'), Alcaraz (88')
Oct 25, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 7
Valladolid
0-2
Alaves

Toni (43')
Nacho (21')
Pina (55'), Sainz (85')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 13
Alaves
3-0
Valladolid
Joselu (26'), Pina (32'), Perez (75' pen.)
Laguardia (6'), Garcia (33'), Rioja (59')

Barba (31'), Alcaraz (74'), Porro (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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