Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.62%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.87%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Alaves |
41.62% ( -0.34) | 30.7% ( 0.02) | 27.68% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 38.73% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.67% ( 0.07) | 68.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.85% ( 0.05) | 86.15% ( -0.04) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% ( -0.17) | 32.61% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% ( -0.18) | 69.15% ( 0.19) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.47% ( 0.33) | 42.53% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.11% ( 0.28) | 78.89% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.54% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.62% | 0-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.69% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.11% Total : 27.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |