Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
49.98% ( -0) | 28.39% ( -0.1) | 21.63% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 39.46% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.01% ( 0.37) | 64.99% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.12% ( 0.26) | 83.88% ( -0.26) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% ( 0.18) | 26.45% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.23) | 61.63% ( -0.22) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.66% ( 0.34) | 46.34% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.02% ( 0.26) | 81.98% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 16.3% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |