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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
0 - 2
Atletico


Pacheco (45+2'), Mendez (57'), Ander Olasagasti (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lino (9'), Mandava (90+3')
Vermeeren (41'), Koke (45'), Niguez (80'), Mandava (87')
Niguez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Both teams are merely playing for pride in this fixture, but they will want to end the campaign on a positive note, particularly the hosts in front of their own supporters. Atletico have got the better of Real Sociedad in recent meetings, but as there is little to separate these two evenly-matched sides at present, we can see Alguacil's men claiming at least a share of the spoils this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
41.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 26.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 32.04% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3% (0.205 0.2)52.7% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.66% (0.175 0.18)74.34% (-0.172 -0.17)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.054000000000002 0.05)25.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)59.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.187 0.19)30.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.21700000000001 0.22)66.91% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 41.52%
    Atletico Madrid 32.04%
    Draw 26.43%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.04%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
36.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atletico Madrid
41.1%
90
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Lino (22'), Griezmann (89' pen.)
Koke (48'), Galan (90+6'), Griezmann (90+6')
Oyarzabal (73')
Le Normand (15'), Traore (86'), Fernandez (87')
Aug 3, 2023 2am
Club Friendlies
Atletico
0-0
Real Sociedad
Hermoso (33')
Zubeldia (14'), Le Normand (33'), Pacheco (54+54'), Pacheco (54')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Griezmann (37'), Molina (73')
De Paul (60'), Hermoso (63')
Sorloth (88')
Merino (27'), Elustondo (54')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico
Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')
May 22, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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