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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Iberostar Estadi
Atletico Madrid logo

Mallorca
0 - 1
Atletico


Raillo (71'), Muriqi (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's away form has been so disappointing this season, and Mallorca do not give up many goals in front of their own fans, so we are struggling to back an away success with any real conviction. Mallorca are fighting for points to stay out of the bottom three, meanwhile, and we can see a low-scoring draw occurring this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
26.33% (0.201 0.2) 26.58% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 47.1% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.34% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.16% (0.252 0.25)55.84% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.04% (0.204 0.2)76.96% (-0.203 -0.2)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.308 0.31)36.64% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (0.306 0.31)73.43% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03)23.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)57.84% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 26.33%
    Atletico Madrid 47.1%
    Draw 26.57%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.3% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.33%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 12.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Atletico

Mallorca
20.4%
Draw
21.4%
Atletico Madrid
58.2%
98
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 8pm
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Mallorca
De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
Nastasic (20')
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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