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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Iberostar Estadi
Atletico Madrid logo

Mallorca
0 - 1
Atletico


Raillo (71'), Muriqi (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's away form has been so disappointing this season, and Mallorca do not give up many goals in front of their own fans, so we are struggling to back an away success with any real conviction. Mallorca are fighting for points to stay out of the bottom three, meanwhile, and we can see a low-scoring draw occurring this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
26.33% (0.201 0.2) 26.58% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 47.1% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.34% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.16% (0.252 0.25)55.84% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.04% (0.204 0.2)76.96% (-0.203 -0.2)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.308 0.31)36.64% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (0.306 0.31)73.43% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03)23.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)57.84% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 26.33%
    Atletico Madrid 47.1%
    Draw 26.57%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.3% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.33%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 12.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Atletico

Mallorca
20.4%
Draw
21.4%
Atletico Madrid
58.2%
98
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 8pm
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Mallorca
De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
Nastasic (20')
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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