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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Atletico Madrid logo

Alaves
2 - 0
Atletico

Benavidez (15'), Rioja (90+2')
Guridi (2'), Lopez (6'), Abqar (33'), Benavidez (49'), Marin (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Correa (45'), Azpilicueta (50'), Savic (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 2-0 Alaves
Sunday, April 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Atletico
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have won five of the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides, but Alaves did record a 1-0 victory in the corresponding contest during the 2021-22 campaign. Alaves will certainly be the fresher of the two teams for this match, but we are expecting Atletico to navigate their way to an important three points on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
31.87% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 27.92% (0.090999999999998 0.09) 40.21% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 47.44% (-0.261 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.58% (-0.331 -0.33)58.42% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.98% (-0.262 -0.26)79.02% (0.25800000000001 0.26)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-0.154 -0.15)33.71% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.165 -0.16)70.37% (0.163 0.16)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)28.43% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (-0.288 -0.29)64.19% (0.285 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 31.87%
    Atletico Madrid 40.2%
    Draw 27.91%
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.87%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.59% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Alaves vs Atletico

Alaves
9.4%
Draw
12.5%
Atletico Madrid
78.1%
96
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Atletico
2-1
Alaves
Riquelme (26'), Morata (45+1')
Llorente (71'), Hermoso (71'), Oblak (83')
Guevara (90+6')
Duarte (71'), Hagi (85')
Apr 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
Atletico
4-1
Alaves
Felix (11', 82'), Suarez (75' pen., 90')
Llorente (72')
Escalante (63')
Sep 25, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 7
Alaves
1-0
Atletico
Laguardia (4')
Sylla (31'), N'Diaye (36')

Savic (17'), Trippier (53'), Kondogbia (55')
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
1-0
Alaves
Suarez (54')
Carrasco (76'), Savic (85'), Niguez (90+2')

Jota (33'), Battaglia (88')
Jan 3, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 17
Alaves
1-2
Atletico
Felipe (84' og.)
Laguardia (63')
Llorente (41'), Suarez (90')
Carrasco (29'), Suarez (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 16
 
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Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
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Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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