Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
31.87% (![]() | 27.92% (![]() | 40.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.58% (![]() | 58.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.98% (![]() | 79.02% (![]() |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% (![]() | 33.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% (![]() | 70.37% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% (![]() | 28.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.81% (![]() | 64.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.42% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.87% | 1-1 @ 13.1% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 12.05% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | GironaGirona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Real BetisBetis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> La Liga Full Table |