Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
18.09% | 24.27% | 57.64% |
Both teams to score 44.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.82% | 55.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% | 76.42% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.45% | 44.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.43% | 80.57% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% | 19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.44% | 50.56% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.85% 2-1 @ 4.6% 2-0 @ 2.77% 3-1 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.62% Total : 18.09% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 14.05% 0-2 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-4 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.11% Other @ 3.82% Total : 57.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |