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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Alaves logo

Granada
2 - 0
Alaves

Uzuni (9' pen.), Boye (38')
Gumbau (45+3'), Uzuni (45'), Rubio (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gorosabel (20'), Tenaglia (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Granada and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 0-1 Valencia
Thursday, April 4 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, March 31 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 1-1 Alaves

Granada have only won twice in La Liga this season, so it is difficult to back them to secure all three points. The strugglers are also on a five-game losing run, which will hand Alaves confidence, but we are expecting the Andalusian outfit to secure a share of the spoils in Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawAlaves
37.46%28.38% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 34.16% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.57% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (0.082000000000001 0.08)59.72% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (0.062000000000001 0.06)80.03% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31% (0.040999999999997 0.04)30.69% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (0.047999999999995 0.05)66.95% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.057000000000002 0.06)32.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (0.065000000000001 0.07)69.38% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Granada 37.45%
    Alaves 34.16%
    Draw 28.38%
GranadaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.45%
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.16%

How you voted: Granada vs Alaves

Granada
25.0%
Draw
43.8%
Alaves
31.3%
32
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Alaves
3-1
Granada
Torrente (11' og.), Rebbach (38'), Omorodion (55')
Guevara (9')
Uzuni (86' pen.)
Villar (16'), Boye (59'), Sanchez (87')
May 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 39
Alaves
1-1
Granada
Rioja (66')
Uzuni (22' pen.)
Dec 2, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Granada
3-1
Alaves
Uzuni (23'), Meseguer (31'), Molina (51')
Alkain (11')
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
2-3
Granada
Escalante (53'), Vallejo (57')
N'Diaye (4'), Tenaglia (41'), de la Fuente (89'), Escalante (90+6')
Escudero (50'), Puertas (75'), Suarez Charris (87')
Quini (27'), Uzuni (45+3'), Petrovic (61'), Sanchez (90'), Diaz (90+8'), Escudero (90+8')
Escandell (90+8')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Granada
2-1
Alaves
Puertas (14'), Arias (86')
Abram (40'), Brice Eteki (79')
Abram (81' og.)
Laguardia (45+1'), Lopez (86')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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