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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Cadiz
2 - 0
Atletico

Juanmi (24', 64')
Juanmi (31'), Sobrino (48'), Alcaraz (71'), Alejo (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Depay (30'), Molina (52'), Morata (62'), Vermeeren (84'), Llorente (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's away form this season has been disappointing, but they will fancy their chances of beating their relegation-threatened opponents on Saturday. Cadiz have drawn a league-high 13 games this term, but we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
25.89% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 47.43% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)56.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (-0.029 -0.03)77.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (-0.151 -0.15)37.36% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (-0.15 -0.15)74.15% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.063000000000002 0.06)23.84% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (0.088000000000001 0.09)58.02% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 25.89%
    Atletico Madrid 47.43%
    Draw 26.67%
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 12.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.43%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz
6.9%
Draw
14.7%
Atletico Madrid
78.4%
102
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
3-2
Cadiz
Correa (32', 66'), Molina (46')
Koke (12')
Pires (12'), Marti (27')
Marti (39'), Sobrino (90+2'), Kouame (90+3')
May 3, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
5-1
Cadiz
Griezmann (2', 27'), Morata (49'), Carrasco (57' pen.), Molina (73')
Lozano (72')
Oct 29, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Cadiz
3-2
Atletico
Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Club Friendlies
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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