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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Las Palmas

Atletico
5 - 0
Las Palmas

Llorente (15', 20'), Correa (47', 62' pen.), Depay (87')
Molina (28'), Niguez (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perrone (4'), El Haddadi (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Las Palmas

This has all of the makings of a very difficult game for Atletico, with Las Palmas so impressive this season. Simeone's side have been excellent at home in 2023-24, though, and we are backing the Red and Whites to navigate their way to a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Las Palmas win it is 0-1 (6.07%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
56.93% (1.255 1.26) 23% (-0.272 -0.27) 20.07% (-0.983 -0.98)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.634 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.104 -0.1)47.65% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)69.85% (0.095999999999989 0.1)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.405 0.41)16.51% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (0.722 0.72)46.25% (-0.722 -0.72)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (-1.065 -1.07)37.94% (1.066 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (-1.047 -1.05)74.71% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 56.93%
    Las Palmas 20.07%
    Draw 23%
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.16% (0.313 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.155 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.069 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 56.93%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.07%

How you voted: Atletico vs Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid
85.2%
Draw
8.3%
Las Palmas
6.5%
108
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico
Rodriguez (51'), Benito (75')
Morata (83')
De Paul (62'), Gimenez (90+3'), Savic (90+9')
Jan 28, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
3-0
Las Palmas
Griezmann (61'), Torres (73'), Partey (88')
Niguez (82')

Navarro (67'), Galvez (85')
Aug 26, 2017 9.15pm
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico
Calleri (58')
Hernan (14'), Bigas (24'), Gonzalez (39'), Viera (62')
Correa (3'), Carrasco (5'), Koke (62', 75'), Partey (88')
Vietto (39')
Apr 29, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico

Boateng (6'), Jese (32'), Halilovic (56')
Boateng (65')
Gameiro (2', 18'), Niguez (17'), Partey (72'), Torres (91')
Niguez (14'), Savic (31'), Gaitan (61'), Partey (89')
Jan 10, 2017 8.15pm
Round Five
Atletico
2-3
Las Palmas
Griezmann (49'), Correa (61')
Correa (35'), Lucas (45'), Gabi (69')
Livaja (58', 89'), Ezequiel Garcia (93')
Cabrera Momo (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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