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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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Las Palmas
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Valencia logo

Las Palmas
2 - 0
Valencia

Suarez (89'), Cardona (90+5')
Marmol (48'), Cardona (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, February 3 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Almeria
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Valencia

Las Palmas have only lost three times at home this season, while Valencia have just three away victories to their name. Strong cases can be made for both teams to win on Saturday, but we are expecting a very tight game and have had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.

Result
Las PalmasDrawValencia
37.48% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 27.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 35.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.38% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)77.4% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)29.03% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)64.93% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.55% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)66.78% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 37.47%
    Valencia 35.01%
    Draw 27.49%
Las PalmasDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.01%

How you voted: Las Palmas vs Valencia

Las Palmas
30.5%
Draw
39.0%
Valencia
30.5%
118
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Pepelu (74' pen.)
Jan 20, 2018 7.45pm
Las Palmas
2-1
Valencia
Viera (20'), Calleri (53' pen.)
Samperio (73'), Halilovic (76')
Mina (5')
Lato (21'), Vezo (26'), Paulista (52'), Montoya (62'), Zaza (70'), Neto (72'), Coquelin (90')
Paulista (52'), Vezo (87')
Jan 9, 2018 8.30pm
Fifth Round
Valencia
4-0
Las Palmas
Vietto (30', 48', 66'), Maksimovic (54')
Latorre (81')

Garcia (90')
Jan 3, 2018 8pm
Fifth Round
Las Palmas
1-1
Valencia
Calleri (36')
Galvez (62'), Navarro (78'), Calleri (90')
Rodrigo (85')
Zaza (76')
Aug 18, 2017 9pm
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Zaza (22')
Zaza (9'), Parejo (40'), Gaya (71')

Navarro (47'), Bigas (67'), Simon (80')
Halilovic (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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