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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Duro (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (56'), Vivian (90'), Ares (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, January 17 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Valencia 2-2 Athletic Bilbao

 Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we can see another draw here. Athletic are on an impressive winning run, but Valencia's form has also been excellent, and we are finding it difficult to separate the teams in what could be an entertaining clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
25.25% (0.289 0.29) 26.06% (0.132 0.13) 48.69% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)
Both teams to score 48.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (-0.289 -0.29)54.64% (0.289 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02% (-0.238 -0.24)75.97% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (0.093000000000004 0.09)36.91% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (0.093 0.09)73.69% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.306 -0.31)22.47% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.46 -0.46)56.01% (0.462 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 25.25%
    Athletic Bilbao 48.69%
    Draw 26.06%
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.15% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.12% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.04% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 25.25%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 12.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.24% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.6% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 48.69%

How you voted: Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

Valencia
16.9%
Draw
30.1%
Athletic Bilbao
53.0%
83
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Valencia
De Marcos (32'), Berenguer (90+7')
Paredes (12'), Garcia (55'), Ruiz de Galarreta (87')
Perez (62'), Duro (68')
Amallah (57')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Valencia
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Castillejo (17')
Williams (30'), Sancet (72')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2023 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
De Marcos (43' og.)
Muniain (35'), Williams (45'), Vesga (74' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Valencia
Berenguer (42')
Vivian (12'), Muniain (68'), Simon (79'), Berchiche (86'), Alvarez (88')

Musah (23'), Diakhaby (74')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Valencia
Alvarez (8'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (90'), Simon (90+9')
Diakhaby (26'), Moriba (53'), Guillamon (72')
Guillamon (90+8')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


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