Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
23.58% ( 1.39) | 24.3% ( 0.85) | 52.12% ( -2.24) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.89% ( -2.14) | 49.1% ( 2.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.82% ( -1.96) | 71.18% ( 1.96) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.65% ( 0.09) | 35.35% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.89% ( 0.09) | 72.1% ( -0.1) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( -1.64) | 18.81% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.75% ( -2.81) | 50.25% ( 2.81) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.58% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.29) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.17% Total : 52.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |