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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Athletic Bilbao logo

Granada
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (6')
Williams (78'), Berchiche (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Granada and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Granada
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

We are expecting this to be a close match in terms of the general play and indeed the scoreline, but Athletic are in excellent form at the moment, and we believe that the Lions will be able to navigate their way to what would be an important victory at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
23.58% (1.385 1.39) 24.3% (0.849 0.85) 52.12% (-2.24 -2.24)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (-2.137 -2.14)49.1% (2.131 2.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (-1.963 -1.96)71.18% (1.956 1.96)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (0.087999999999994 0.09)35.35% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (0.094000000000001 0.09)72.1% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (-1.64 -1.64)18.81% (1.634 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (-2.812 -2.81)50.25% (2.807 2.81)
Score Analysis
    Granada 23.58%
    Athletic Bilbao 52.11%
    Draw 24.3%
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.601 0.6)
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.238 0.24)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.32 0.32)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 23.58%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.43 0.43)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.562 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 11.1% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 9.28% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.37% (-0.379 -0.38)
0-3 @ 5.17% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.11%

How you voted: Granada vs Athletic Bilbao

Granada
12.0%
Draw
6.0%
Athletic Bilbao
82.0%
50
Head to Head
May 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 36
Granada
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Collado (35')
Quini (41'), Escudero (77'), Duarte (88'), Brice Eteki (90+2')

Vesga (72')
Vesga (85')
Nov 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Granada
Garcia (10'), Maximiano (76' og.)
Marcelino (53'), Zarraga (62')
Martinez (90+9')
Machis (25'), Molina (34')
Montoro (40'), Sanchez (77')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Granada
Villalibre (3'), Berenguer (90+1')
Garcia (28'), Vencedor (68')
Molina (78')
Herrera (59'), Diaz (90+5')
Sep 12, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Granada
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Herrera (49'), Milla (53')
Herrera (10'), Sanchez (45'), Gonalons (90+2')

Morcillo (15'), Martinez (52'), Lopez (72'), Alvarez (84')
Jul 19, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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