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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 10, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Athletic Bilbao logo

Granada
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Collado (35')
Quini (41'), Escudero (77'), Duarte (88'), Brice Eteki (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vesga (72')
Vesga (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Granada and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 0-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Now coming up against a defensively sound Athletic Bilbao side having suffered fresh injury blows with three of their goalscorers at the weekend, Granada's strong start to life under Karanka could come to a grinding halt here. The hosts have not had the winning formula in front of their own fans of late, and with Marcelino's men in rather strong form themselves, the European outsiders can take advantage of Granada's lengthy injury list to get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
30.53% (0.669 0.67) 26.27% (0.305 0.31) 43.2% (-0.976 -0.98)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.623 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44% (-0.962 -0.96)52.56% (0.961 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78% (-0.831 -0.83)74.22% (0.83 0.83)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)31.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)68.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)24.15% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-1.287 -1.29)58.46% (1.287 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Granada 30.53%
    Athletic Bilbao 43.2%
    Draw 26.27%
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.326 0.33)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.53%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.287 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.2%

How you voted: Granada vs Athletic Bilbao

Granada
24.2%
Draw
20.0%
Athletic Bilbao
55.8%
95
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Granada
Garcia (10'), Maximiano (76' og.)
Marcelino (53'), Zarraga (62')
Martinez (90+9')
Machis (25'), Molina (34')
Montoro (40'), Sanchez (77')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Granada
Villalibre (3'), Berenguer (90+1')
Garcia (28'), Vencedor (68')
Molina (78')
Herrera (59'), Diaz (90+5')
Sep 12, 2020 5.30pm
Granada
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Herrera (49'), Milla (53')
Herrera (10'), Sanchez (45'), Gonalons (90+2')

Morcillo (15'), Martinez (52'), Lopez (72'), Alvarez (84')
Mar 5, 2020 8pm
Granada
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Fernandez (48'), Sanchez (76')
Sanchez (50')
Berchiche (81')
Alvarez (40'), Vesga (73'), Simon (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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