Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
37.56% ( -0.65) | 26.68% ( 0.25) | 35.76% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.92% ( -1.01) | 53.08% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.34% ( -0.87) | 74.66% ( 0.87) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( -0.84) | 27.4% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% ( -1.11) | 62.88% ( 1.1) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% ( -0.25) | 28.47% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% ( -0.32) | 64.23% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |